دور الانفاق الحكومي في التنويع الاقتصادي

Abstract

تعالج هاته الدراسة اثر الإنفاق الحكومي على التنويع الاقتصادي دراسة حالة الجزائر خلال الفترة 2000-2019؛ ولقياس وتحديد العلاقة بين الإنفاق الحكومي والتنويع الاقتصادي معبراً عنه بمؤشر التنوع ومؤشر التركيز ونسبة مساهمة الإيرادات غير النفطية في الإيرادات الإجمالية، وتحديد اتجاهها في الأجلين القصير والطويل، تم الاعتماد على طرائق منهج التحليل الكمي القياسي، المتمثلة في اختبارات جذر الوحدة ومنهجية التكامل المشترك بنموذج الانحدار الذاتي للإبطاء الموزع ARDL، خلصت الدراسة إلى وجود تكامل مشترك بين الإنفاق الحكومي ومؤشر التنوع وعدم وجود تكامل مشترك بين الإنفاق الحكومي ومؤشر التركيز و ونسبة مساهمة الإيرادات غير النفطية في الإيرادات الإجمالية كما بينت نتائج التقدير للعلاقة في الأجل القصير والطويل إلى أن تأثير الإنفاق الحكومي ضعيف جدا لتأثير على التنويع الاقتصادي في الجزائر.

This study deals with the impact of government spending on economic diversification, a case study of Algeria during the period 2000-2019; In order to measure and define the relationship between government spending and economic diversification, expressed in the diversity index, concentration index, and the percentage of non-oil revenues' contribution to total revenues, and to determine their direction in the short and long terms, the methods of the quantitative standard analysis approach, represented by the unit root tests and the methodology of joint integration with the self-regression model To slow down the distribution of ARDL, the study concluded that there is a common complementarity between government spending and the diversity index, and there is no joint complementarity between government spending, concentration index, and the percentage of non-oil revenue contribution to total revenues. The results of the assessment of the relationship in the short and long term also indicated that the effect of government spending is very weak due to the impact of On economic diversification in Algeria.

This study deals with the impact of government spending on economic diversification, a case study of Algeria during the period 2000-2019; In order to measure and define the relationship between government spending and economic diversification, expressed in the diversity index, concentration index, and the percentage of non-oil revenues' contribution to total revenues, and to determine their direction in the short and long terms, the methods of the quantitative standard analysis approach, represented by the unit root tests and the methodology of joint integration with the self-regression model To slow down the distribution of ARDL, the study concluded that there is a common complementarity between government spending and the diversity index, and there is no joint complementarity between government spending, concentration index, and the percentage of non-oil revenue contribution to total revenues. The results of the assessment of the relationship in the short and long term also indicated that the effect of government spending is very weak due to the impact of On economic diversification in Algeria.